The estimate is that the soybean harvest will be 6.5% larger compared to the previous cycle (2022/2023), reaching an area of 4.265 million hectares. After a significant sampling of the 690 thousand hectare soybean area, a reduction in productivity was observed. Therefore, the estimated productivity is 50.5 sc/ha, a decrease of 19.12%. The expectation is for a production of 12.923 million tons, a reduction of 13.89% when compared to the previous cycle.
Phenological development
With regard to phenological development, all regions of the state have crops between the R7 stage (beginning of maturation) and R8 (full maturity). The west, north, northeast and southwest regions presented mostly good conditions, varying between 70% and 78.9%, with regular conditions between 5.5% and 20.1% and a small percentage of poor conditions, up to 15.5%. %. However, the south, southeast, south-border and center regions present conditions that do not reach the potential of the other regions, with poor conditions varying between 17% and 34.9%, fair conditions between 13.1% and 39.2% and good conditions between 40.9% and 56.3%.
Harvested area
The percentage of area harvested in the 2023/2024 harvest is 2.2 percentage points lower than in the 2022/2023 harvest, as of April 12.
Corn and cotton alert: new heat wave for crops
Weather forecast trend for the next few days
Until the end of April, dry weather will prevail over most of the Southeast, Central-West and northern areas of Paraná. The combination of dry weather and high temperatures should cause a rapid decline in soil moisture. In the north of Mato Grosso, there will continue to be a greater influence of instability from the North of Brazil and should receive moderate rains.
Between the North and Northeast regions, the action of strong instabilities associated with humidity from the Amazon and mainly the influence of the Intertropical convergence zone should cause heavy rain between the north of the country and the northern part of the Northeast. While it rains heavily in the north and east of the Northeast region, in the interior of Bahia the episodes will be much more sparse and a large part of the state should be influenced by dry air.
Temperatures will rise in much of the interior of Brazil and the end of April will be marked by the onset of a new heat wave. Areas between the Southeast, Central-West and South of the country are expected to face temperatures 3 to 5°C above average. The hottest areas in the north of Paraná, mid-west of São Paulo, Triângulo Mineiro, Mato Grosso do Sul, south of Goiás and south of Mato Grosso are expected to record temperatures more than 5°C above average between April 23 and 2 of May.
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