Paes has 42.6%, and Ramagem 31.2% of voting intentions in Rio de Janeiro, according to Atlas research

In Rio de Janeiro, the current mayor and pre-candidate for re-election, Eduardo Paes (PSD), leads the dispute for the position in the 2024 elections. With 42.6% of voting intentions, Paes has an advantage of just over 11 points percentages in relation to federal deputy Alexandre Ramagem (PL), who appears in second place with 31.2%.

The data comes from the Atlas/CNN survey, released this Wednesday, the 24th. 1,239 voters in Rio were interviewed, between the 18th and 23rd of this month. The margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points and the confidence level is 95%.

The polarization between the voters of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) could influence the decision in the electoral race and affect the main pre-candidates in the municipal election. Among those who chose the PT member in the second round of the 2022 elections, 65.1% say they prefer to vote for the current mayor. 71% of those who voted for Bolsonaro that year will support Ramagem.

According to the survey, 12.7% of people today intend to vote for federal deputy Tarcísio Motta, pre-candidate for PSOL, in the October election. Councilor Pedro Duarte (Novo) has 3.8% of voting intentions, followed by federal deputy Otoni de Paula (MDB), who has 2.3%, and state deputy Dani Balbi (PCdoB), who appears with 1 .3%, and by federal deputy Marcelo Queiroz, 0.5%.

Another 3.1% of those interviewed said they would vote blank or null and 2.4% of voters did not know how to answer.

In two scenarios that simulate the second round, Paes is also in the lead. Against Ramagem, the mayor would win the election with 51% of the votes, compared to his opponent’s 36.7%. 9% of those interviewed said they would vote blank or null and 3.3% did not know.

If he were to compete with Motta, Paes would be elected by 50.3% to 21% of the votes. In this second scenario, blank and null voters account for 25.9% of the votes, and those who don’t know make up 2.9% of voters.