Seif’s trial at the TSE (photo: TSE Disclosure)
The trial of the process that could revoke the mandate of senator Jorge Seif (PL), which will resume this Tuesday (30), promises a tight score. Both among the senator’s allies and on the side of the Let’s Work coalition (PSD, União and Patriota), which is the author of the process, the expectation is for a score of 4 to 3 – with an advantage for one side or the other, depending on the inclination. of the interlocutor.
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Another point in common is the expectation that the decisive vote will be from Minister Carmen Lúcia, of the Federal Supreme Court (STF). She will be the sixth to vote, before only the president of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), minister Alexandre de Moraes.
According to behind-the-scenes analyzes in Brasília, the tendency is for the rapporteur, Minister Floriano de Azevedo Marques, to vote in favor of the impeachment. Next will be André Ramos Tavares, who also tends to vote for impeachment.
Seif decides to follow the trial at the TSE far from Brasília
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Maria Isabel Diniz and Raul Araújo, next in voting order (both from the STJ), would be inclined to vote for Seif’s acquittal, as would Kássio Nunes Marques, from the STF. It will then be up to Minister Carmen Lúcia to decide whether to open an advantage in favor of Seif or tie the score, giving Alexandre de Moraes the final decision.
Seif was with Alexandre de Moraes before the trial carried out by Tarcísio
It is not ruled out, however, that there will be a new request for a review. If this occurs, the deadline must be requested by Minister Kássio Nunes Marques. This hypothesis transfers the decision to after Alexandre de Moraes leaves the TSE – he leaves the Court in June, when he will be replaced as president by Carmen Lúcia. Moraes’ seat will be occupied by minister André Mendonça – which, for Seif’s allies, favors the senator.
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