US survey reveals that Trump is likely to lose votes in swing states if convicted

US survey reveals that Trump is likely to lose votes in swing states if convicted
US survey reveals that Trump is likely to lose votes in swing states if convicted
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A recent survey by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult revealed that more than half of voters in US swing states would be reluctant to vote for Donald Trump in the general election if he were found guilty of a crime.

This information appears as a possible obstacle for Trump, who is currently leading the polls against President Joe Biden.

In the seven tight battleground states, 53% of voters said they would not vote for Trump if he were found guilty of a crime, and that number rises to 55% in the case of a prison sentence. The poll was conducted in states where no party has a significant advantage in presidential elections.

Trump, who faces 91 criminal charges in four separate trials, has remained a central figure in the Republican primaries and campaign fundraising. However, recent data indicates that their legal battles may have a limit in terms of political benefit.

The poll also shows that Trump is widening his margin over Biden in a head-to-head matchup, leading by an average of 6 percentage points in crucial states. However, voters’ reluctance to support a convicted Trump presents a counterpoint to this trend.

Trump has positioned himself as a victim of political promoters, which has strengthened the party’s support for his candidacy, leading competitors such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to drop out of the race and Nikki Haley to continue running after early defeats.

Caroline Bye, vice president of Morning Consult, commented that a conviction would decrease support for Trump, with about one in five 2020 voters reluctant to support him if found guilty.

The poll also addressed the question of whether states should be able to remove Trump’s name from election ballots, with opinions divided among respondents.

Additionally, a conviction could influence so-called “double ‘haters,’” with 79% of them saying they would not vote for Trump if he were found guilty.

The poll was conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before the New Hampshire primary, and included voters from key states such as Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Nevada.

Trump faces multiple criminal trials, with his lawyers trying to delay the cases or dismiss them. An appeals court’s ruling on his immunity from criminal liability could affect the outcome of two of those trials.

The article is in Portuguese

Tags: survey reveals Trump lose votes swing states convicted

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