The bicentennial of the Independence of Brazil should be a time of great cultural events and public discussions about what Brazilian history has been so far and what we should do from now on. Instead, Bolsonaro is walking around with a piece of dead and will hold a rally in favor of the coup d’état on September 7.
It is not yet known how much of Wednesday’s act will be a rally and how much will be a coup attempt: it is only known that it will be a mixture of the two, and what crimes will be committed. Coup d’etat is prohibited, using the Armed Forces in rally too.
Last Saturday, the President of the Republic already called Minister Alexandre de Moraes a bum, so that, if I were Temer, I would leave the letter prepared.
Deep down, Bolsonaro must be in doubt about what to do. Research doesn’t help. If Bolsonaro had overtaken Lula, it would have been better to give up the coup and focus on winning the election. If Lula were 20 points ahead of Bolsonaro, victory at the polls would be impossible and all that would be left for Jair to do was try a coup. With the difference stable, but not insurmountable, the question remains.
It’s not easy to attempt a coup d’état and run an election campaign at the same time.
All polls show that the electorate in general doesn’t want a coup, they want food. Even the 2018 voter, by the way, might not want a politician, but he wanted a government: he wanted a vaccine, he wanted a minimum wage with a real readjustment that would allow him to survive the rise in prices, he wanted, in short, everything that the Bolsonaro government did not give him. .
Four years later, Brazilians still want a government, and if they don’t want a politician, it won’t be Bolsonaro who will represent them. Jair is the candidate of the center and his only hope of reelection is the use of the public machine during the campaign. On this, by the way, I recommend the article by the political scientist Jairo Nicolau in the latest edition of the Piauí magazine.
Therefore, if Bolsonaro has a priority to win the election, he must do what he did during his interview with Jornal Nacional: lie all the time, but lie about things that interest the population, such as jobs, food and vaccines.
On the other hand, if Bolsonaro has a priority to carry out a coup, he must lie about things that mobilize the hatred of his most radical followers: electronic voting machines, women, the STF, LGBTs, the left. Here the priority is not so much to promise well-being to allies, it is to promise that enemies, real or imagined, will suffer. For an audience of sadists, it works.
It should be noted that the only option Jair does not have is to speak the truth: as a candidate for reelection, he has nothing to say about his government that is both good for Brazil and the truth. As a scammer, all he can do is deliver the wildest conspiracy theories about enemies of freedom to his followers. If he spoke the truth, he would have to admit that he is the enemy of freedom.
Be that as it may, it is sad that our bicentennial is celebrated as a party in honor, not of Brazil, but of the worst leader the country has ever had, blamed for the mass murder of Brazilians during the pandemic, militant of hatred for women and freedom. democratic. If he were sincere, Bolsonaro would end his speech on the 7th shouting “Incompetence and Death!”.