Eduardo Leite has 38%, against 24% of Lorenzoni in RS, says Ipec

Eduardo Leite has 38%, against 24% of Lorenzoni in RS, says Ipec
Eduardo Leite has 38%, against 24% of Lorenzoni in RS, says Ipec

Results are in 1st shift simulation; survey was carried out from Aug 30 to Sep 1 and paid for by TV RBS, an affiliate of Globo

Former Rio Grande do Sul governor Eduardo Leite (PSDB) appears in the lead in the electoral race for the state government, according to a survey by Ipec (ex-Ibope) carried out from August 30 to September 1. The toucan currently has 38% of voting intentions.

In 2nd place, former minister Onyx Lorenzoni (PL) appears, scoring 24%. The gaucho is supported by President Jair Bolsonaro, of the same party. In this scenario, Leite and Lorenzoni would dispute the 2nd round.

Here are the numbers:

  • Eduardo Leite (PSDB): 38%;
  • Onyx Lorenzoni (PL): 24%;
  • Edegar Preto (EN): 9%;
  • Luis Carlos Heinze (PP): 6%;
  • Roberto Argenta (PSC): two%;
  • Vieira da Cunha (PDT): two%;
  • Paulo Roberto* (PCO): 1%;
  • Rejane de Oliveira (PSTU): 1%;
  • Ricardo Jobim (New): 1%;
  • Vicente Bogo (PSB): 1%;
  • Carlos Messalla (PCB): 0%;
  • white/null: 7%;
  • they do not know: 9%.

* Paulo Roberto (PCO) had his resignation request approved by the TRE-RS (Regional Electoral Court of Rio Grande do Sul). Court also dismissed the PCO’s DRAP (Demonstratives of Regularity of Party Acts) on August 30. Facts took place after the research was registered.

The survey heard 1,200 people from August 30 to September 1, 2022 in 62 municipalities in Rio Grande do Sul. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points at a 95% confidence interval. The research was contracted by RBS Participações SA – an affiliate of Globe– and cost BRL 97,798.11. The survey is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under the number BR-02047/2022 and with the TRE-RS (Regional Electoral Court of Rio Grande do Sul) with the number RS-07668/2022

The company that carried out the research, Ipec, presents itself as Intelligence in Research and Consulting. It is a for-profit enterprise, like almost all the others that do electoral polls in Brazil, despite calling itself an “institute”. The enterprise is commanded by executives linked to the former Ibope (which closed its doors in January 2021). The statistician Márcia Cavallari is presented as CEO of Ipec.

REJECTION

IPEC also asked voters who they would not vote for at all. Here are the numbers:

  • Eduardo Leite (PSDB): 25%;
  • Onyx Lorenzoni (PL): 18%;
  • Edegar Pretto (PT): 11%;
  • Luis Carlos Heinze (PP): 8%;
  • Vieira da Cunha (PDT): 8%;
  • Roberto Argenta (PSC): 7%;
  • Paulo Roberto* (PCO): 6%;
  • Rejane de Oliveira (PSTU): 6%;
  • Ricardo Jobim (New): 6%;
  • Vicente Bogo (PSB): 5%;
  • Carlos Messalla (PCB): 4%;
  • I would vote for anyone: 9%;
  • they do not know: 24%.

* Paulo Roberto (PCO) had his resignation request approved by the TRE-RS (Regional Electoral Court of Rio Grande do Sul). Court also dismissed the PCO’s DRAP (Demonstratives of Regularity of Party Acts) on August 30. Facts took place after the research was registered.

SENATE

Here are the poll numbers for the state Senate race:

  • Olivio Dutra (PT): 28%;
  • Ana Amelia Lemos (PSD): 25%;
  • Hamilton Mourão (Republicans): 18%;
  • Commander Nadia (PP): 3%;
  • Maristela Zanotto (PSC): two%;
  • Paulo Roberto da Rosa (DC): two%;
  • Professor Nado (Forward): two%;
  • Airto Ferronato (PSB): 1%;
  • Fabiana Sanguiné (PSTU): 1%;
  • white/null: 6%;
  • they do not know: 12%.

according to g1Francisco Settineri’s candidacy (PCO) was filed with the TSE after the survey was registered and, therefore, his name did not appear in the stimulated voting intention question.

RESEARCH AGGREGATOR

O Power 360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There have been studies carried out since the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest-running survey of electoral research available on the Brazilian internet.

The database is interactive and allows you to follow the progress of each candidate. Access by clicking here.

Research information began to be compiled by the journalist Fernando RodriguesEditor-in-Chief of Power 360on its website, in the year 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, click here.


The article is in Portuguese

Brazil

Tags: Eduardo Leite Lorenzoni Ipec

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