Rains are expected to return to most of Bahia in the first days of April


Illustrative picture

The first days of April should have rainfall records in all regions of Bahia. According to the main international weather forecast models, volumes may exceed 100 millimeters in some locations, however, some areas of the state may receive volumes below 10 millimeters.

The forecasts from different meteorological institutes converge on the high circulation of humidity over the state, starting this Monday, April 1st and lasting at least until the end of the week, however, they still diverge in relation to concentration and quantity Of rain.

Forecasts also indicate that the return of rain to the state should provide relief from the strong heat that has persisted for a few weeks in many cities.

GFS Forecast through April 7 – weatherbell.com

The GFS (Global Forecast System), a global numerical weather forecasting system run by the United States National Weather Service, indicates rainfall of over 50 mm across the border with Minas Gerais and Espírito Santo until Sunday (7), in addition to the entire western half of the state and coastal areas, including the Salvador Region, with the possibility of up to 100 mm in some locations.

The ECMWF (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) predicts rain, but well distributed across the state, with accumulations of between 50 and 100 mm in most regions of Bahia.

ECMWF Forecast through April 7
ECMWF Forecast through April 7 – weatherbell.com

Finally, Cosmo, a meteorological model used by the National Meteorology Institute (Inmet), indicates more concentrated rain, with accumulations of up to 150 mm, only in a band close to the borders with the states of Tocantins, Piauí and Pernambuco, in addition to the band coast north of Salvador. This forecast is based on the persistence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (Zcit), which has been bringing heavy rains to the northern part of the Northeast Region for many days.

For the rest of the state, this forecast indicates only weak and isolated rains, with accumulations below 10 mm.

northeast cosmos forecast april 7
Cosmo forecast until April 7th – Inmet

Guanambi Region

The ECMWF and GFS models indicate changes in weather conditions between this Monday (1st) and Tuesday (2nd). Throughout the week, the weather may remain cloudy for much of the day, with the sun out for a few moments. The expected accumulations could vary between 30 and 60 mm in seven days. Inmet’s Cosmo, on the other hand, includes the region in an area with rainfall below 10 mm in the same period.

Rain forecast for Guanambi with set of models - Source: meteoblue.com
Rain forecast for Guanambi with a set of models – the T indicates the highest volume forecast and the blue bars the average of the forecast volumes – Source: meteoblue.com

Rain forecast for Guanambi with a set of models – Source: meteoblue.com This Monday, the forecast is hot, with a maximum possibly above 35ºC. With the likely increase in cloudiness, the tendency is for temperatures to become milder in the coming days, not exceeding 32ºC.

Forecasts also indicate that the rainy season in the region is not yet expected to end with the rains forecast for this week, with there still being the possibility of more significant rains in the region until the first days of May.

The article is in Portuguese

Tags: Rains expected return Bahia days April



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