Research shows how the dispute for government and Senate is

Research shows how the dispute for government and Senate is
Research shows how the dispute for government and Senate is

Electoral poll released by Real Time Big Data this Monday (19), pointed out the current governor and candidate for re-election to the Government of Paraíba, João Azevêdo (PSB), in the lead of the survey, with 33% of voting intentions.

In the sequence, senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) with 17% of the voting intentions, Nilvan Ferreira (PL) with 15% and federal deputy Pedro Cunha Lima (PSDB) with 14% appear technically tied. The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.

The Real Time Big Data survey also simulated the dispute for a seat in Paraíba in the Federal Senate. Former governor Ricardo Coutinho (PT) appears ahead with 33% of voting intentions, followed by federal deputy Efraim Filho (União Brasil) with 20% and state deputy Pollyanna Dutra (PSB) with 16% – the last two tied technically.

Voting intention for the government of Paraíba

First round: stimulated (when a list of candidates is presented to the interviewee)

  • João Azevêdo (PSB) – 33%
  • Veneziano Vital do Rego (MDB) – 17%
  • Nilvan Ferreira (PL) – 15%
  • Pedro Cunha Lima (PSDB) – 14%
  • Major Fabio (PRTB) – 2%
  • Adjany Simplicio (Psol) – 1%
  • Adriano Trajano (PCO) – 0
  • Antônio Nascimento (PSTU) – 0
  • Blanks and nulls – 8%
  • Don’t know or didn’t answer – 10%

First round: spontaneous (when a list of candidates is not presented to the interviewee)

  • João Azevêdo (PSB) – 22%
  • Veneziano Vital do Rego (MDB) – 9%
  • Pedro Cunha Lima (PSDB) – 8%
  • Nilvan Ferreira (PL) – 8%
  • Others – 2%
  • Blanks and nulls – 14%
  • Don’t know or didn’t answer – 37%

Intention to vote for the Senate in Paraíba

  • Ricardo Coutinho (PT) – 33%
  • Efraim Filho (Brazil Union) – 20%
  • Pollyanna Dutra (PSB) – 16%
  • Bruno Roberto (PL) – 7%
  • Sérgio Queiroz (PRTB) – 5%
  • André Ribeiro (PDT) – 1%
  • Alexandre Soares (Psol) – 1%
  • Manoel Messias (PCO) – 0
  • Blanks and Nulls – 7%
  • Don’t know or didn’t answer – 10%

Real Time Big Data survey methodology

The electoral poll commissioned by Record TV for Real Time Big Data interviewed 1,000 people by telephone, between September 16th and 17th. The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95%, under registration with the Electoral Court under number PB-04433/2022.

Why the Gazeta publishes election polls

THE People’s Gazette for years, it has published all the polls of the intention to vote carried out by the main institutes of public opinion in the country. You can check the most recent surveys at this link, as well as articles on the subject.

Intent polls take a moment reading, based on representative samples of the population. Interview methods, the composition and number of the sample and even the way a question is asked are factors that can influence the result. That is why it is important to pay attention to the information on methodologies, found at the end of the People’s Gazette on election polls.

Having made these notes, the Gazette considers that electoral polls, far from being a prediction of the outcome of the elections, are an information tool available to the reader, since the published results have the potential to influence decisions of parties, political leaders and even the moods of the financial market .

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