Of the voters of Ciro Gomes, 54% admit that they can still change their vote. Considering Simone Tebet’s, they are 43%. For the sake of comparison, between Bolsonaro’s and Lula’s only 11% and 12%, respectively, say they can switch sides. The data are from the new Datafolha survey, released this Thursday (22).
As much as Ciro says that the PT is playing dirty games and Simone warns that the harassment of his electorate could implode bridges for the second round, the Lula speech that a useful vote against the president is needed now to prevent the country from falling apart will grow exponentially until the 2nd of October.
Even more so after Datafolha showed Lula oscillating two points up, reaching 47% and opening an advantage of 14 over Jair. This means that, today, he has about 50% of the valid votes.
It is the seventh survey that shows this positive variation for the PT in the week. At Genial/Quaest, Lula advanced two points in relation to the previous one; in PoderData, the PT oscillated one point; on BTG/FSB, it rose three points; in Ipec, Lula oscillated one point up; at Ipespe/Abrapel, numerically increased by one point; in the CNT survey/MDA, Lula floated up 1.1 points.
Ciro, who has 7%, has been the main target of the turn-around. And no wonder: Datafolha shows that 38% of those who intend to change their vote would go to Lula and 18% to Bolsonaro. It is understandable that harassment of the electorate irritates those who are working hard on the campaign, but it is also part of the democratic game. He calls the politics of persuasion “left fascism”.
Ironically, the ex-governor of Ceará ends up taking the place of ex-governor of São Paulo, Geraldo Alckmin, who had 10% of voting intentions in the Datafolha of September 28, 2018, but dehydrated and ended the first round with 4, 76%.
In that election, it was Ciro who used the speech of the useful vote, seeking to attract the progressive voter by pointing to himself as more capable than Fernando Haddad to beat Bolsonaro in the second round.